Wednesday December 4th

4-12-2019

Stocks are set to rebound from a 3-day slide as Dow futures jump more than 160 points

U.S. stock index futures rallied early Wednesday morning, boosted by a news report from Bloomberg that said the U.S. and China were edging closer to a trade deal. Around 7:15 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 161 points, indicating a gain of 151.19 points at the open. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also pointed to sharp gains to start off the session. The Bloomberg report, which cited people familiar with the talks, said the two countries were moving closer to agreeing on the amount of tariffs that would be rolled back in a so-called phase-one trade deal. The Dow dropped 280 points on Tuesday and at one point was down as much as 457 points after President Donald Trump said it may be better to wait until after the election before making a deal with China. It was the third day of losses for stocks as traders worried a deal would not be hatched before the U.S. is due to impose fresh duties on Chinese goods on Dec. 15. “The volatility in equities over the last 72 hours is very discordant with the amount of actual incremental news crossing the wires,” said Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, in a note. “Markets are reacting too violently on both the downside and upside to all these headlines.” Shares of chipmakers and Apple gained in premarket trading Wednesday, although the gains were muted as investors were cautious about the new report. Apple was up nearly 1% in the premarket. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) climbed 1.1%. Nvidia and Micron Technology traded higher by 1.4% and 1.9%, respectively. These stocks have been whipsawed by trade deal related headlines for the last two years. Market players are also monitoring high-level meetings between Trump and other NATO leaders, as the institution celebrates its 70th anniversary. Markets were rattled on Tuesday after Trump told reporters in London that it might be better to conclude a trade deal with China after the 2020 presidential election. Meanwhile, France and the wider European Union have promised to retaliate against potential U.S. tariffs on French goods. The U.S. Trade Representative announced Monday a list of French goods that could see tariffs of up to 100%. The decision came after France introduced a digital services tax, which the U.S. argues treats American tech companies unfairly. Other European countries, including the U.K., have plans to impose digital taxes. At the same time, the U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said the Trump administration has not ruled out imposing tariffs on imported European autos, despite not announcing a decision in November on whether to put additional levies on cars in the region. On the data front, investors will be watching for the ADP private-sector payrolls report out at 8:15 a.m. ET, followed by services PMI at 9:45 a.m. ET, and ISM non-manufacturing data at 10 a.m. ET. Stocks in Asia mostly slipped on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said overnight that he may delay a trade deal with China till after the 2020 U.S. presidential election. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 fell 1.05% to close at 23,135.23. The Topix index also declined 0.2% to end its trading day at 1,703.27. Mainland Chinese stocks were mixed on the day, with the Shanghai composite down 0.23% to about 2,878.12 while the Shenzhen component was up 0.31% to 9,687.95. The Shenzhen composite also rose 0.199% to approximately 1,608.52. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index declined 1.16%, as of its final hour of trading. South Korea’s Kospi ended its trading day 0.73% lower at 2,068.89. Oil gained on Wednesday ahead of an expected extension to production curbs by OPEC and its allies, with further support from industry data showing a larger than forecast drop in U.S. crude stockpiles. Brent crude futures were up $1.13, or 1.9%, at $61.96 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up by 93 cents, or 1.6%, at $57.02. Gold steadied on Wednesday, hovering near a one-month high as investors awaited clarity on the U.S.-China trade talks, while palladium soared to another all-time high on scarce supply. Spot gold little changed at $1,476.17 per ounce, after hitting its highest since Nov. 7 at $1,484 earlier in the session, while U.S. gold futures were down 0.2% to $1,481.90 per ounce.